An Early Christmas
You’ve probably seen this by now, but just in case you haven’t, here’s a prediction that Amazon will be giving away the Kindle before the year is out:
In October 2009 John Walkenbach noticed that the price of the Kindle was falling at a consistent rate, lowering almost on a schedule. By June 2010, the rate was so unwavering that he could easily forecast the date at which the Kindle would be free: November 2011.
Since then I’ve mentioned this forecast to all kinds of folks. In August, 2010 I had the chance to point it out to Jeff Bezos, CEO of Amazon. He merely smiled and said, “Oh, you noticed that!” And then smiled again.
It goes into speculation about the business model at work here, and how they might pull this off.
Do I think it’ll happen? Maybe. It’s an interesting idea, at any rate, and something I kind of suspected might happen eventually back when they rolled out the first Kindles. Am I sorry I just bought one, instead of waiting to see if they really do start giving them away? Naaah. I’m way too impatient to wait that long.